{"version":"2026.03","released":"2026-03-29","occupation":{"title":"Child protection officer","slug":"child-protection-officer","category":"government-services","category_label":"Government Services","pay":32500,"salary_low":25000,"salary_high":40000,"jobs":58050,"outlook":-3.3,"outlook_desc":"Softening · fixed population","education":"GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C)","exposure":4,"exposure_rationale":"While AI can significantly assist with administrative tasks like report writing, case documentation, and data analysis for risk assessments, the core of the role requires high-stakes human judgment and physical presence. The necessity for emotional intelligence, active listening in sensitive environments, and giving evidence in court provides a strong barrier against AI replacement.","url":"https://nationalcareers.service.gov.uk/job-profiles/child-protection-officer","zone":"mixed","elasticity":3.5,"elasticity_mechanism":"Demand is driven by the number of children at risk and statutory caseloads rather than the cost of processing a case.","elasticity_gate":"population"},"trajectory":{"slug":"child-protection-officer","title":"Child protection officer","category_label":"Government Services","baseline_jobs":58050,"curve":[{"year":2024,"jobs":58204,"pct":0.27},{"year":2025,"jobs":58414,"pct":0.63},{"year":2026,"jobs":58841,"pct":1.36},{"year":2027,"jobs":58990,"pct":1.62},{"year":2028,"jobs":58493,"pct":0.76},{"year":2029,"jobs":57717,"pct":-0.57},{"year":2030,"jobs":57159,"pct":-1.53},{"year":2031,"jobs":56858,"pct":-2.05},{"year":2032,"jobs":56660,"pct":-2.4},{"year":2033,"jobs":56483,"pct":-2.7},{"year":2034,"jobs":56309,"pct":-3},{"year":2035,"jobs":56134,"pct":-3.3}],"time_to_disruption":null,"transitions":[{"slug":"criminal-intelligence-analyst","title":"Intelligence analyst","elasticity":8.5,"exposure":8,"pay":36000,"outlook":15.4,"zone":"jevons"},{"slug":"criminologist","title":"Criminologist","elasticity":5.5,"exposure":7,"pay":31000,"outlook":1.93,"zone":"mixed"},{"slug":"careers-adviser","title":"Careers adviser","elasticity":4.5,"exposure":6,"pay":32500,"outlook":-1.65,"zone":"anti_jevons"},{"slug":"environmental-health-officer","title":"Environmental health practitioner","elasticity":4.5,"exposure":4,"pay":38500,"outlook":-1.1,"zone":"mixed"},{"slug":"diplomatic-service-officer","title":"Diplomatic Service officer","elasticity":4.5,"exposure":6,"pay":42500,"outlook":-1.65,"zone":"anti_jevons"}],"regional":[{"region":"London","employment":19300,"pct":13.5},{"region":"South East","employment":19000,"pct":13.3},{"region":"North West","employment":14800,"pct":10.4},{"region":"West Midlands","employment":14800,"pct":10.4},{"region":"Scotland","employment":13000,"pct":9.1},{"region":"East","employment":12200,"pct":8.6},{"region":"South West","employment":11300,"pct":7.9},{"region":"Yorkshire and The Humber","employment":10900,"pct":7.6},{"region":"Wales","employment":7600,"pct":5.3},{"region":"East Midlands","employment":7500,"pct":5.3},{"region":"North East","employment":6300,"pct":4.4},{"region":"Northern Ireland","employment":5900,"pct":4.1}],"gender":{"male":18400,"female":97600,"female_pct":84.1},"soc_code":"2461"}}