{"version":"2026.03","released":"2026-03-29","occupation":{"title":"Diplomatic Service officer","slug":"diplomatic-service-officer","category":"government-services","category_label":"Government Services","pay":42500,"salary_low":35000,"salary_high":50000,"jobs":41725,"outlook":-1.65,"outlook_desc":"Softening · regulated demand","education":"Bachelor's degree (Level 6)","exposure":6,"exposure_rationale":"Diplomatic Service officers perform high-level knowledge work including policy analysis, report writing, and visa processing, all of which are highly susceptible to AI augmentation and automation. However, the core of the role relies on physical presence, nuanced human negotiation, and sensitive interpersonal relationships that are protected from full AI replacement, particularly within the secure and risk-averse environment of the UK Civil Service.","url":"https://nationalcareers.service.gov.uk/job-profiles/diplomatic-service-officer","zone":"anti_jevons","elasticity":4.5,"elasticity_mechanism":"While cheaper analysis and reporting could increase the volume of diplomatic intelligence, the total demand is capped by the number of sovereign states and the finite capacity of senior decision-makers to process and act on diplomatic advice.","elasticity_gate":"regulation"},"trajectory":{"slug":"diplomatic-service-officer","title":"Diplomatic Service officer","category_label":"Government Services","baseline_jobs":41725,"curve":[{"year":2024,"jobs":41939,"pct":0.51},{"year":2025,"jobs":42408,"pct":1.64},{"year":2026,"jobs":43179,"pct":3.48},{"year":2027,"jobs":43565,"pct":4.41},{"year":2028,"jobs":43054,"pct":3.18},{"year":2029,"jobs":42158,"pct":1.04},{"year":2030,"jobs":41563,"pct":-0.39},{"year":2031,"jobs":41324,"pct":-0.96},{"year":2032,"jobs":41228,"pct":-1.19},{"year":2033,"jobs":41162,"pct":-1.35},{"year":2034,"jobs":41099,"pct":-1.5},{"year":2035,"jobs":41037,"pct":-1.65}],"time_to_disruption":null,"transitions":[{"slug":"criminal-intelligence-analyst","title":"Intelligence analyst","elasticity":8.5,"exposure":8,"pay":36000,"outlook":15.4,"zone":"jevons"},{"slug":"criminologist","title":"Criminologist","elasticity":5.5,"exposure":7,"pay":31000,"outlook":1.93,"zone":"mixed"}],"regional":[{"region":"North West","employment":45500,"pct":20.3},{"region":"Yorkshire and The Humber","employment":22500,"pct":10},{"region":"Wales","employment":21800,"pct":9.7},{"region":"South East","employment":20900,"pct":9.3},{"region":"Scotland","employment":19200,"pct":8.5},{"region":"West Midlands","employment":16900,"pct":7.5},{"region":"Northern Ireland","employment":16700,"pct":7.4},{"region":"London","employment":14700,"pct":6.5},{"region":"South West","employment":14000,"pct":6.2},{"region":"North East","employment":13600,"pct":6.1},{"region":"East","employment":10100,"pct":4.5},{"region":"East Midlands","employment":8700,"pct":3.9}],"gender":{"male":70100,"female":96800,"female_pct":58},"soc_code":"4111"}}