{"version":"2026.03","released":"2026-03-29","occupation":{"title":"Production manager (manufacturing)","slug":"production-manager-manufacturing-","category":"manufacturing","category_label":"Manufacturing","pay":46500,"salary_low":30000,"salary_high":63000,"jobs":207200,"outlook":4.12,"outlook_desc":"Stable · uncapped demand","education":"Bachelor's degree (Level 6)","exposure":5,"exposure_rationale":"Production managers perform a mix of digital planning and physical oversight, with AI increasingly automating scheduling, supply chain logistics, and predictive maintenance. However, the role requires significant on-site presence to manage human staff, troubleshoot physical machinery issues, and navigate the complexities of a factory floor, which provides a buffer against full automation.","url":"https://nationalcareers.service.gov.uk/job-profiles/production-manager-manufacturing-","zone":"ambiguous","elasticity":6.5,"elasticity_mechanism":"Lowering the cost of production management enables the viability of smaller, more customized manufacturing batches and localized 'micro-factories' that are currently cost-prohibitive.","elasticity_gate":"none"},"trajectory":{"slug":"production-manager-manufacturing-","title":"Production manager (manufacturing)","category_label":"Manufacturing","baseline_jobs":207200,"curve":[{"year":2024,"jobs":208478,"pct":0.62},{"year":2025,"jobs":212435,"pct":2.53},{"year":2026,"jobs":218192,"pct":5.31},{"year":2027,"jobs":221649,"pct":6.97},{"year":2028,"jobs":219744,"pct":6.05},{"year":2029,"jobs":215539,"pct":4.02},{"year":2030,"jobs":213134,"pct":2.86},{"year":2031,"jobs":212854,"pct":2.73},{"year":2032,"jobs":213432,"pct":3.01},{"year":2033,"jobs":214186,"pct":3.37},{"year":2034,"jobs":214961,"pct":3.75},{"year":2035,"jobs":215737,"pct":4.12}],"time_to_disruption":null,"transitions":[{"slug":"design-and-development-engineer","title":"Design and development engineer","elasticity":8.5,"exposure":7,"pay":40000,"outlook":13.48,"zone":"jevons"},{"slug":"footwear-designer","title":"Footwear designer-maker","elasticity":8.5,"exposure":4,"pay":32000,"outlook":7.7,"zone":"mixed"},{"slug":"textile-designer","title":"Textile designer","elasticity":8.5,"exposure":7,"pay":31000,"outlook":13.48,"zone":"jevons"},{"slug":"electronics-engineer","title":"Electronics engineer","elasticity":8,"exposure":7,"pay":44000,"outlook":11.55,"zone":"jevons"},{"slug":"materials-engineer","title":"Materials engineer","elasticity":8,"exposure":6,"pay":39500,"outlook":9.9,"zone":"jevons"}],"regional":[{"region":"North West","employment":32300,"pct":13.4},{"region":"South East","employment":29700,"pct":12.3},{"region":"Yorkshire and The Humber","employment":29600,"pct":12.3},{"region":"West Midlands","employment":29400,"pct":12.2},{"region":"East","employment":23900,"pct":9.9},{"region":"South West","employment":20600,"pct":8.5},{"region":"East Midlands","employment":18400,"pct":7.6},{"region":"London","employment":15800,"pct":6.6},{"region":"Scotland","employment":14100,"pct":5.8},{"region":"Wales","employment":13900,"pct":5.8},{"region":"North East","employment":7600,"pct":3.2},{"region":"Northern Ireland","employment":5800,"pct":2.4}],"gender":{"male":176900,"female":30300,"female_pct":14.6},"soc_code":"1121"}}