{"version":"2026.03","released":"2026-03-29","occupation":{"title":"Warehouse worker","slug":"warehouse-worker","category":"delivery-and-storage","category_label":"Delivery & Storage","pay":24500,"salary_low":19000,"salary_high":30000,"jobs":304700,"outlook":0.97,"outlook_desc":"Stable · fixed population","education":"GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C)","exposure":3,"exposure_rationale":"The core tasks are physically demanding and require manual dexterity, such as moving goods, packing, and cleaning, which are difficult for AI to replicate without expensive robotics. While AI and automation are increasingly used for inventory management and route optimization in UK logistics, the need for human workers to handle irregular items and navigate physical spaces remains high.","url":"https://nationalcareers.service.gov.uk/job-profiles/warehouse-worker","zone":"mixed","elasticity":4.5,"elasticity_mechanism":"While cheaper logistics can marginally increase e-commerce volume, the total throughput is ultimately capped by the physical consumption limits of the UK population and the existing stock of warehouse floor space.","elasticity_gate":"population"},"trajectory":{"slug":"warehouse-worker","title":"Warehouse worker","category_label":"Delivery & Storage","baseline_jobs":304700,"curve":[{"year":2024,"jobs":305480,"pct":0.26},{"year":2025,"jobs":307693,"pct":0.98},{"year":2026,"jobs":311004,"pct":2.07},{"year":2027,"jobs":312910,"pct":2.69},{"year":2028,"jobs":311541,"pct":2.25},{"year":2029,"jobs":308767,"pct":1.33},{"year":2030,"jobs":307093,"pct":0.79},{"year":2031,"jobs":306716,"pct":0.66},{"year":2032,"jobs":306864,"pct":0.71},{"year":2033,"jobs":307119,"pct":0.79},{"year":2034,"jobs":307387,"pct":0.88},{"year":2035,"jobs":307656,"pct":0.97}],"time_to_disruption":null,"transitions":[{"slug":"delivery-van-driver","title":"Delivery van driver","elasticity":6.5,"exposure":3,"pay":23500,"outlook":5.08,"zone":"mixed"},{"slug":"builders-merchant","title":"Builders' merchant","elasticity":6.5,"exposure":3,"pay":26500,"outlook":5.08,"zone":"mixed"},{"slug":"roadie","title":"Roadie","elasticity":6.5,"exposure":1,"pay":27500,"outlook":8.62,"zone":"baumol"},{"slug":"supply-chain-manager","title":"Supply chain manager","elasticity":6.5,"exposure":7,"pay":39000,"outlook":5.78,"zone":"jevons"}],"regional":[{"region":"East Midlands","employment":55200,"pct":15.7},{"region":"Yorkshire and The Humber","employment":48200,"pct":13.7},{"region":"West Midlands","employment":44400,"pct":12.6},{"region":"North West","employment":44100,"pct":12.5},{"region":"East","employment":35300,"pct":10},{"region":"South East","employment":26900,"pct":7.7},{"region":"South West","employment":26600,"pct":7.6},{"region":"Scotland","employment":26600,"pct":7.6},{"region":"Wales","employment":14100,"pct":4},{"region":"London","employment":12700,"pct":3.6},{"region":"North East","employment":11300,"pct":3.2},{"region":"Northern Ireland","employment":6200,"pct":1.8}],"gender":{"male":231100,"female":73700,"female_pct":24.2},"soc_code":"9252"}}