UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
Mixed signals

Farmer

62.3K UK workers · typical pay £37,000 · entry route GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C). Projected headcount change: -1% to 2035.

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
62.3K
Median pay
£37.0K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
3 / 10
Elasticity
3.5 / 10
2035 outlook
-1%
Exposure · 3/10
Why AI can do the work

Farming is primarily a physical occupation requiring manual labor, machine maintenance, and animal care in unpredictable outdoor environments. While AI will significantly enhance business management, crop monitoring, and yield analysis, the core tasks of physical intervention and on-site problem solving remain resistant to full automation in the medium term.

Elasticity · 3.5/10
Gated by population
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Output is strictly capped by biological caloric intake of the UK population and available arable land, though cheaper production may slightly increase exports or high-value niche variety.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount drifts -1% across 12 years.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 62.3K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2027 +2%2035 -1%
2024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+6%-1%
Peak headcount
2027
+2% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
-1%
61.6K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£2.3B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 5111.

South West
17.7K · 18.8%
Northern Ireland
13.9K · 14.7%
Wales
11.8K · 12.5%
Scotland
11.0K · 11.7%
West Midlands
8.0K · 8.5%
South East
7.6K · 8.1%
North West
7.4K · 7.8%
Yorkshire and The Humber
6.6K · 7%
Gender split

Majority-male role (82.0% men).

11.2K women · 18%51.1K men · 82%
slug: farmer · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0