UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
Barely exposed

Postperson

87.3K UK workers · typical pay £26,500 · entry route GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C). Projected headcount change: -1% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
Thin signal. Only 11% of the Claude usage mapped to this job is actual work. The rest is personal or study use of the same skills. Read the figures below as indicative, not precise.
52%
Augmentation
AI mostly assists
3.3×
Time compression
~0.5h → ~9min
2.29/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
48%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
learning 35.8%directive 32.1%feedback loop 13.2%validation 11.3%unclassified 5.6%task iteration 1.9%
What people make with AI here
explanation / answer70%advice / recommendation17%document / report6%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
87.3K
Median pay
£26.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
2 / 10
Elasticity
2.5 / 10
2035 outlook
-1%
Exposure · 2/10
Why AI can do the work

The core of the role is physically demanding, requiring manual sorting, walking for several hours, and navigating unpredictable outdoor environments. While AI and automation improve logistics and sorting at processing centres, the 'last mile' delivery and physical presence required to interact with customers remain highly resistant to AI replacement.

Elasticity · 2.5/10
Gated by population
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Demand is driven by the volume of physical mail and parcels, which is capped by the UK population and household count rather than the cost of delivery.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount drifts -1% across 12 years.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 87.3K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2027 +1%2035 -1%
2024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+6%-1%
Peak headcount
2027
+1% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
-1%
86.6K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£2.3B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 9211.

South East
16.4K · 15.7%
East
11.6K · 11.1%
London
10.9K · 10.5%
West Midlands
9.7K · 9.3%
South West
9.6K · 9.2%
Scotland
9.6K · 9.2%
Yorkshire and The Humber
9.0K · 8.6%
North West
8.7K · 8.3%
Gender split

Majority-male role (79.5% men).

17.9K women · 21%69.4K men · 80%
slug: postman-or-postwoman · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0