UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
Hands-on, growing

Care worker

245.6K UK workers · typical pay £22,500 · entry route Entry Level / GCSEs grades 1-3. Projected growth of +7% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
Thin signal. Only 24% of the Claude usage mapped to this job is actual work. The rest is personal or study use of the same skills. Read the figures below as indicative, not precise.
36%
Augmentation
AI mostly does the task
2.9×
Time compression
~2.4h → ~48min
2.74/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
64%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
directive 29.9%unclassified 23%feedback loop 21.3%task iteration 14.2%learning 8.9%validation 2.6%
What people make with AI here
explanation / answer15%advice / recommendation12%document / report10%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
245.6K
Median pay
£22.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
2 / 10
Elasticity
6.5 / 10
2035 outlook
+7%
Exposure · 2/10
Why AI can do the work

Care work is fundamentally physical and interpersonal, requiring manual tasks like washing, dressing, and lifting that AI cannot perform. While AI may assist with peripheral administrative tasks like updating care plans or monitoring health data, the core value of the role lies in human presence, empathy, and physical assistance in unpredictable environments.

Elasticity · 6.5/10
Gated by population
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Massive latent demand for higher-frequency visits and 24/7 companionship currently suppressed by high hourly costs, though the total number of recipients is demographic-capped.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount grows +7%, a Jevons-pattern curve.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 245.6K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2035 +7%2035 +7%
Peak 20352024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+8%+7%
Peak headcount
2035
+7% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
+7%
262.4K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£5.5B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 6135.

North West
120.7K · 13.2%
West Midlands
101.7K · 11.2%
South East
100.2K · 11%
Scotland
96.6K · 10.6%
London
83.9K · 9.2%
Yorkshire and The Humber
79.3K · 8.7%
South West
74.4K · 8.2%
East
70.3K · 7.7%
Gender split

Majority-female role (77.6% women).

572.0K women · 78%164.7K men · 22%
Career pivots · same category, higher elasticity

Five roles with transferable skills and better demand dynamics.

slug: care-worker · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0