UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
Barely exposed

Caretaker

50.0K UK workers · typical pay £26,000 · entry route GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C). Projected headcount change: +1% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
Thin signal. Only 7% of the Claude usage mapped to this job is actual work. The rest is personal or study use of the same skills. Read the figures below as indicative, not precise.
22%
Augmentation
AI mostly does the task
4.2×
Time compression
~1.1h → ~16min
2.75/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
78%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
directive 58.8%task iteration 16.5%feedback loop 16.1%unclassified 4.4%learning 3.8%validation 0.4%
What people make with AI here
advice / recommendation34%explanation / answer18%plan / strategy13%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
50.0K
Median pay
£26.0K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
2 / 10
Elasticity
3.5 / 10
2035 outlook
+1%
Exposure · 2/10
Why AI can do the work

The role is fundamentally physical and site-based, involving manual repairs, cleaning, and the physical opening and locking of buildings. While AI may assist with peripheral tasks like booking contractors or monitoring smart building systems, the core responsibilities require a human presence that cannot be automated in the digital domain.

Elasticity · 3.5/10
Gated by saturated
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Demand is primarily driven by the fixed number of physical buildings requiring maintenance and security, though cheaper costs might unlock some deferred minor repairs.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount drifts +1% across 12 years.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 50.0K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2027 +2%2035 +1%
2024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+6%+1%
Peak headcount
2027
+2% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
+1%
50.6K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£1.3B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 6232.

East Midlands
7.9K · 18.7%
West Midlands
7.9K · 18.7%
South East
7.5K · 17.7%
London
6.9K · 16.3%
North West
6.5K · 15.4%
Scotland
3.7K · 8.7%
Wales
1.9K · 4.5%
Gender split

Majority-male role (78.2% men).

10.9K women · 22%39.1K men · 78%
slug: caretaker · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0