UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
UK AI Jobs/Delivery & Storage/Import-export clerk
Shrinks with AI

Import-export clerk

58.2K UK workers · typical pay £32,500 · entry route Bachelor's degree (Level 6). Projected decline of -7% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
34%
Augmentation
AI mostly does the task
6.4×
Time compression
~2.3h → ~21min
2.72/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
66%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
directive 47.5%task iteration 18.3%feedback loop 17.3%learning 8.8%validation 6.7%unclassified 1.3%
What people make with AI here
document / report18%advice / recommendation15%explanation / answer14%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
58.2K
Median pay
£32.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
8 / 10
Elasticity
3.5 / 10
2035 outlook
-7%
Exposure · 8/10
Why AI can do the work

The role is primarily digital, involving the management of freight bookings, documentation, and compliance through computer systems. AI is highly capable of automating routine administrative tasks like invoice preparation, customs document verification, and shipment tracking, which are core to this occupation.

Elasticity · 3.5/10
Gated by saturated
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Output is primarily gated by the physical volume of UK trade and the number of shipments, which do not scale linearly with the cost of documentation processing.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount contracts -10%, an Anti-Jevons curve.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 58.2K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2027 +3%2035 -10%
Peak 2027-10%2024202620282030203220342035-12%+0%+7%-10%
Peak headcount
2027
+3% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
-10%
52.4K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£1.9B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 4134.

West Midlands
10.0K · 17.6%
South East
9.3K · 16.4%
North West
7.9K · 13.9%
Yorkshire and The Humber
7.8K · 13.7%
Scotland
7.4K · 13%
East Midlands
6.3K · 11.1%
East
4.9K · 8.6%
South West
3.2K · 5.6%
Gender split

Relatively balanced: 42.3% women.

24.6K women · 42%33.6K men · 58%
slug: import-export-clerk · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0