UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
UK AI Jobs/Business & Finance/Payroll administrator
Shrinks with AI

Payroll administrator

168.8K UK workers · typical pay £28,500 · entry route GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C). Projected decline of -15% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
49%
Augmentation
AI mostly does the task
8.2×
Time compression
~3.3h → ~24min
2.67/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
51%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
directive 39.8%task iteration 39.4%feedback loop 10.5%learning 8.2%validation 1.6%unclassified 0.6%
What people make with AI here
math / calculation32%data / spreadsheet29%document / report8%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
168.8K
Median pay
£28.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
9 / 10
Elasticity
2 / 10
2035 outlook
-15%
Exposure · 9/10
Why AI can do the work

Payroll administration is a digital-first role focused on routine data entry, calculation, and reporting, all of which are highly susceptible to AI automation. While some human oversight is needed for complex queries and UK-specific compliance, the core tasks of processing wages and auditing information are increasingly handled by autonomous software systems.

Elasticity · 2/10
Gated by population
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

The volume of payroll output is strictly tied to the number of UK employees, meaning cheaper processing does not create more payslips.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount contracts -22%, an Anti-Jevons curve.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 168.8K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2024 +0%2035 -22%
-22%2024202620282030203220342035-26%+0%+8%-22%
Peak headcount
2024
+0% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
-22%
131.0K workers
Time to −10%
2031
First year ≤ −10%
Total wage pool
£4.8B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 4122.

London
64.8K · 16.9%
South East
52.2K · 13.6%
East
49.9K · 13%
North West
40.3K · 10.5%
West Midlands
31.8K · 8.3%
South West
29.8K · 7.8%
Yorkshire and The Humber
28.3K · 7.4%
East Midlands
28.3K · 7.4%
Gender split

Majority-female role (69.1% women). Sits inside the 69%-female Anti-Jevons zone.

233.3K women · 69%104.4K men · 31%
slug: payroll-administrator · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0