UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
Could go either way

GP

169.3K UK workers · typical pay £95,500 · entry route Postgraduate degree (Level 7+). Projected headcount change: -1% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
Thin signal. Only 12% of the Claude usage mapped to this job is actual work. The rest is personal or study use of the same skills. Read the figures below as indicative, not precise.
57%
Augmentation
AI mostly assists
3.4×
Time compression
~2.3h → ~40min
2.6/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
44%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
learning 44.3%feedback loop 21.7%directive 20.9%task iteration 9%validation 2.3%unclassified 1.8%
What people make with AI here
explanation / answer40%advice / recommendation32%analysis / summary8%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
169.3K
Median pay
£95.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
5 / 10
Elasticity
4.5 / 10
2035 outlook
-1%
Exposure · 5/10
Why AI can do the work

GPs face moderate exposure as AI tools increasingly assist with diagnostic decision support, medical imaging analysis, and administrative tasks like clinical coding. However, the core of the role requires physical examinations, complex interpersonal empathy, and navigating the regulatory and ethical governance of the NHS, which provides a significant buffer against full automation.

Elasticity · 4.5/10
Gated by population
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

While cheaper consultations could unlock preventative care and higher frequency of contact, total demand is fundamentally capped by the UK population and the number of sick patients.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount drifts -1% across 12 years.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 169.3K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2027 +4%2035 -1%
Peak 20272024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+6%-1%
Peak headcount
2027
+4% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
-1%
167.0K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£16.2B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 2211.

London
36.4K · 18.2%
North West
31.5K · 15.8%
West Midlands
26.5K · 13.3%
South East
18.3K · 9.2%
Scotland
17.0K · 8.5%
Yorkshire and The Humber
15.4K · 7.7%
East
14.0K · 7%
South West
10.7K · 5.4%
Gender split

Relatively balanced: 52.4% women.

88.7K women · 52%80.6K men · 48%
Career pivots · same category, higher elasticity

Five roles with transferable skills and better demand dynamics.