Mixed signals

Nurse

134.4K UK workers · typical pay £39,000 · entry route Postgraduate degree (Level 7+). Projected headcount change: +3% to 2035.

Post to X LinkedIn

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How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index

Thin signal. Only 24% of the Claude usage mapped to this job is actual work. The rest is personal or study use of the same skills. Read the figures below as indicative, not precise.

53%

Augmentation

AI mostly assists

3.7×

Time compression

~3.1h → ~51min

2.69/5

AI autonomy

how hands-off it runs

47%

Automation

of measured usage

How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes

learning 34.3%directive 23.3%feedback loop 21%task iteration 11.8%unclassified 5.9%validation 3.8%

What people make with AI here

explanation / answer32%advice / recommendation24%document / report14%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS

UK workers (2024)

134.4K

Median pay

£39.0K

Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement

AI exposure

4 / 10

Elasticity

6.5 / 10

2035 outlook

+3%

Exposure · 4/10

Why AI can do the work

Nursing requires significant physical presence and manual dexterity for tasks like administering injections and treating wounds, which are shielded from AI. While AI will streamline administrative tasks, patient monitoring, and diagnostic support, the core of the role remains centered on interpersonal care and emotional support in a complex, physical environment.

Elasticity · 6.5/10

Gated by population

Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Cheaper nursing unlocks massive latent demand for higher-intensity care, preventative monitoring, and improved patient-to-staff ratios that are currently suppressed by budget constraints.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount drifts +3% across 12 years.

Adoption scenario

×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035

Baseline 134.4K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline

Peak 2027 +6%2035 +3%

Peak headcount

2027

+6% vs 2024

2035 endpoint

+3%

138.8K workers

Time to −10%

–

Never crosses in model

Total wage pool

£5.2B

pay × jobs

Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 2237.

London

45.6K · 13.8%

West Midlands

38.2K · 11.5%

South East

36.9K · 11.1%

North West

36.7K · 11.1%

Scotland

32.2K · 9.7%

South West

26.7K · 8.1%

Yorkshire and The Humber

26.5K · 8%

Wales

23.3K · 7%

Gender split

Majority-female role (83.4% women).

224.0K women · 83%44.7K men · 17%

Career pivots · same category, higher elasticity

Five roles with transferable skills and better demand dynamics.

Elasticity 8.5/10 · AI 3/10

Plastic surgeon

£92,000+9%

Elasticity 7.5/10 · AI 5/10

Nutritionist

£39,000+7%