UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
UK AI Jobs/Construction & Trades/Painter and decorator
Hands-on, growing

Painter and decorator

83.6K UK workers · typical pay £24,500 · entry route Entry Level / GCSEs grades 1-3. Projected growth of +9% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
58%
Augmentation
AI mostly assists
6.2×
Time compression
~3.8h → ~37min
2.66/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
42%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
task iteration 51.6%directive 28.9%feedback loop 12.7%validation 2.9%learning 2.6%unclassified 1.3%
What people make with AI here
math / calculation31%data / spreadsheet17%document / report11%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
83.6K
Median pay
£24.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
1 / 10
Elasticity
6.5 / 10
2035 outlook
+9%
Exposure · 1/10
Why AI can do the work

This occupation is almost entirely physical and requires manual dexterity, presence in unpredictable environments, and working at height. While AI can assist with peripheral tasks like computerized color matching or business management, the core work of surface preparation and application cannot be automated by digital AI.

Elasticity · 6.5/10
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Lower costs would unlock massive latent demand for more frequent aesthetic refreshes and the completion of deferred maintenance on the UK's aging housing stock.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount grows +9%, a Jevons-pattern curve.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 83.6K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2035 +9%2035 +9%
Peak 20352024202620282030203220342035-7%+0%+10%+9%
Peak headcount
2035
+9% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
+9%
90.8K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£2.0B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 5323.

South East
14.5K · 14.7%
London
14.1K · 14.3%
East
11.4K · 11.6%
Scotland
11.0K · 11.2%
West Midlands
9.1K · 9.2%
East Midlands
7.9K · 8%
South West
7.8K · 7.9%
Yorkshire and The Humber
7.7K · 7.8%
Gender split

Majority-male role (90.8% men).

7.7K women · 9%75.9K men · 91%
slug: painter-and-decorator · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0