UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
Barely exposed

Door supervisor

33.9K UK workers · typical pay £27,500 · entry route GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C). Projected headcount change: +2% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
34%
Augmentation
AI mostly does the task
5.3×
Time compression
~2h → ~22min
2.72/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
66%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
directive 43%feedback loop 18.4%task iteration 15.3%learning 15.1%unclassified 5.7%validation 2.6%
What people make with AI here
advice / recommendation24%document / report21%explanation / answer20%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
33.9K
Median pay
£27.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
1 / 10
Elasticity
2.5 / 10
2035 outlook
+2%
Exposure · 1/10
Why AI can do the work

This role is fundamentally physical and requires a real-time human presence to manage crowds, perform searches, and intervene in physical conflicts. While AI might assist with peripheral tasks like facial recognition or digital ticketing, the core responsibilities of maintaining public safety and de-escalating physical situations cannot be automated.

Elasticity · 2.5/10
Gated by regulation
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Demand is strictly tied to the number of physical venues and events requiring a licensed security presence, which does not increase simply because the cost of a supervisor decreases.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount drifts +2% across 12 years.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 33.9K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2035 +2%2035 +2%
2024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+6%+2%
Peak headcount
2035
+2% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
+2%
34.4K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£0.9B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 9231.

London
33.0K · 20.8%
North West
21.3K · 13.4%
South East
19.4K · 12.2%
West Midlands
13.6K · 8.6%
East
13.0K · 8.2%
Scotland
12.5K · 7.9%
Yorkshire and The Humber
11.4K · 7.2%
South West
10.7K · 6.7%
Gender split

Majority-male role (85.5% men).

19.7K women · 15%115.8K men · 86%
slug: door-supervisor · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0