UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
Mixed signals

Security manager

83.3K UK workers · typical pay £31,500 · entry route GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C). Projected headcount change: -1% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
46%
Augmentation
AI mostly does the task
9.3×
Time compression
~5.4h → ~35min
2.81/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
54%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
directive 43.4%task iteration 31.1%learning 10.4%feedback loop 9.4%validation 3.8%unclassified 1.8%
What people make with AI here
document / report29%analysis / summary16%explanation / answer8%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
83.3K
Median pay
£31.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
4 / 10
Elasticity
4.5 / 10
2035 outlook
-1%
Exposure · 4/10
Why AI can do the work

Security management involves a significant amount of physical site presence, personnel leadership, and real-time coordination with emergency services that AI cannot replicate. While AI will heavily augment digital tasks like CCTV monitoring, risk assessment, and incident reporting, the core requirement for human judgment in high-pressure physical environments keeps exposure moderate.

Elasticity · 4.5/10
Gated by saturated
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

While cheaper security management allows for more granular site monitoring and risk analysis, the total demand is primarily gated by the physical number of commercial properties and events requiring oversight.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount drifts -1% across 12 years.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 83.3K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2027 +3%2035 -1%
2024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+6%-1%
Peak headcount
2027
+3% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
-1%
82.4K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£2.6B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 1139.

London
43.4K · 23.2%
South East
36.9K · 19.7%
East
26.0K · 13.9%
South West
15.4K · 8.2%
East Midlands
11.5K · 6.1%
Yorkshire and The Humber
10.9K · 5.8%
North West
10.5K · 5.6%
West Midlands
9.4K · 5%
Gender split

Relatively balanced: 48.9% women.

81.4K women · 49%85.2K men · 51%
slug: security-manager · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0