UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
UK AI Jobs/Emergency & Uniform/Neighbourhood warden
Hands-on, growing

Neighbourhood warden

10.5K UK workers · typical pay £26,500 · entry route GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C). Projected growth of +7% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
58%
Augmentation
AI mostly assists
10×
Time compression
~7.2h → ~43min
3.06/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
42%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
task iteration 43.5%directive 34%learning 9.6%feedback loop 6.3%unclassified 4.1%validation 2.5%
What people make with AI here
plan / strategy28%document / report24%educational material9%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
10.5K
Median pay
£26.5K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
2 / 10
Elasticity
6.5 / 10
2035 outlook
+7%
Exposure · 2/10
Why AI can do the work

The core of this role is physical presence and real-time human interaction within the community, such as responding to incidents and supporting vulnerable people. While AI may assist with administrative tasks like reporting or data sharing, the job's fundamental requirements for physical fitness, patrolling, and interpersonal conflict resolution provide a strong barrier against automation.

Elasticity · 6.5/10
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Lower costs would allow local authorities to shift from reactive incident response to a high-density preventative presence in every neighborhood.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount grows +7%, a Jevons-pattern curve.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 10.5K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2035 +7%2035 +7%
Peak 20352024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+8%+7%
Peak headcount
2035
+7% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
+7%
11.2K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£0.3B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 6134.

South East
6.5K · 38%
Yorkshire and The Humber
3.8K · 22.2%
Scotland
3.7K · 21.6%
North West
3.1K · 18.1%
Gender split

Majority-female role (73.3% women).

23.1K women · 73%8.4K men · 27%
Career pivots · same category, higher elasticity

Five roles with transferable skills and better demand dynamics.

slug: neighbourhood-warden · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0