UK AI JobsExpected · in use · happened
Barely exposed

Firefighter

37.0K UK workers · typical pay £35,000 · entry route GCSEs grades 4-9 (A*-C). Projected headcount change: -3% to 2035.

How AI is actually used here · measured · Anthropic Economic Index
58%
Augmentation
AI mostly assists
8.3×
Time compression
~3h → ~22min
2.38/5
AI autonomy
how hands-off it runs
42%
Automation
of measured usage
How the collaboration splits · the six measured modes
learning 37.4%directive 33%task iteration 17.7%feedback loop 8.6%validation 3.4%unclassified 0%
What people make with AI here
explanation / answer41%document / report19%advice / recommendation17%

Real Claude.ai usage mapped to this occupation's SOC group, Apr+May 2026, CC-BY. Claude users only; task times model-estimated; augment/automate is how AI is used, not a count of jobs lost. Method →

Facts · ONS + NCS
UK workers (2024)
37.0K
Median pay
£35.0K
Our scored call · a labelled hypothesis, not a measurement
AI exposure
2 / 10
Elasticity
1.5 / 10
2035 outlook
-3%
Exposure · 2/10
Why AI can do the work

The core responsibilities of a firefighter involve physical intervention, rescue operations, and emergency response in unpredictable, high-stakes environments that AI cannot navigate or replicate. While AI may assist with peripheral tasks like fire spread modeling, equipment maintenance scheduling, or administrative reporting, the fundamental need for human presence and manual dexterity remains unchanged.

Elasticity · 1.5/10
Gated by population
Whether demand expands when it gets cheaper

Demand is strictly dictated by the frequency of emergency incidents and fire safety regulations, not the cost of the response.

Trajectory to 2035

Headcount drifts -3% across 12 years.

Adoption scenario
×1.00 · Consensus

Change the scenario in the nav to reshape this curve.

Headcount projection · 2024 → 2035
Baseline 37.0K workers (2024) · % change vs baseline
Peak 2024 +0%2035 -3%
2024202620282030203220342035-6%+0%+6%-3%
Peak headcount
2024
+0% vs 2024
2035 endpoint
-3%
36.0K workers
Time to −10%
Never crosses in model
Total wage pool
£1.3B
pay × jobs
Where this role lives

UK employment share by region, SOC-joined to 3313.

South East
5.5K · 19%
London
5.3K · 18.3%
South West
5.1K · 17.6%
Yorkshire and The Humber
5.0K · 17.2%
West Midlands
4.3K · 14.8%
Scotland
3.8K · 13.1%
Gender split

Majority-male role (85.4% men).

5.4K women · 15%31.6K men · 85%
slug: firefighter · dataset 2026.03 · CC-BY-4.0